Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.017489 0.019319 0.021163 0.023156 0.025245 0.027364 0.029674
2025-06-15 0.013954 0.016819 0.019832 0.023212 0.026875 0.030706 0.034995
2025-06-22 0.011521 0.014894 0.018559 0.022785 0.027474 0.032475 0.038170
2025-06-29 0.009444 0.013093 0.017186 0.022026 0.027507 0.033452 0.040319
2025-07-06 0.007637 0.011405 0.015774 0.021067 0.027179 0.033910 0.041784
2025-07-13 0.006813 0.010797 0.015536 0.021382 0.028228 0.035848 0.044839
2025-07-20 0.005848 0.009919 0.014901 0.021168 0.028613 0.036990 0.046960
2025-07-27 0.005040 0.009163 0.014354 0.021006 0.029014 0.038114 0.049028
2025-08-03 0.004730 0.009037 0.014566 0.021740 0.030453 0.040416 0.052424
2025-08-10 0.004040 0.008324 0.013987 0.021467 0.030664 0.041274 0.054147
2025-08-17 0.003415 0.007642 0.013402 0.021150 0.030793 0.042011 0.055710
2025-08-24 0.002885 0.007043 0.012889 0.020892 0.030967 0.042781 0.057293
2025-08-31 0.002281 0.006300 0.012196 0.020455 0.031003 0.043492 0.058943
2025-09-07 0.001868 0.005822 0.011856 0.020480 0.031632 0.044944 0.061510
2025-09-14 0.001412 0.005181 0.011229 0.020083 0.031699 0.045694 0.063226
2025-09-21 0.000969 0.004450 0.010405 0.019374 0.031333 0.045893 0.064266
2025-09-28 0.000589 0.003707 0.009486 0.018478 0.030688 0.045719 0.064834
2025-10-05 0.000463 0.003515 0.009424 0.018772 0.031576 0.047422 0.067646
2025-10-12 0.000299 0.003144 0.009033 0.018572 0.031800 0.048292 0.069446
2025-10-19 0.000179 0.002820 0.008690 0.018421 0.032074 0.049213 0.071299
2025-10-26 0.000151 0.002820 0.008915 0.019106 0.033463 0.051530 0.074848
2025-11-02 0.000070 0.002495 0.008522 0.018852 0.033579 0.052240 0.076435
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.002182 0.008116 0.018556 0.033625 0.052850 0.077891